Something is happening in the grass roots of the Conservative Party. Daily, committed Tory activists are defecting to UKIP. Maybe Twitter, the home of chattering party activists, is making this issue appear bigger than it would seem without social media, but the growing dissatisfaction with the Tory high command is palpable, and blind party loyalty can no longer be taken for granted.
I have sympathy with the defectors; I am not keen on the direction Cameron has taken our party in. I believe that we have moved too close to the dreaded centre ground of politics, shirking individualism for a bastardised, centre-right form of social democracy. Cameron raves about the NHS, his big government ‘Big Society’, the rich paying their fair share to government. He has slapped a nudge tax on alcohol to deter consumption, and there is talk of a new law allowing government to snoop into our digital lives. We ideological Conservatives, the grass roots, the regular voters, and the people keeping the party financially stable, cannot lend our support to these policies.
The high command justifies this shift in policy by saying it’s necessary to win elections. But politics isn’t about winning elections; it’s about ideology and vision. If we are willing to water down our ideology to get into power, we don’t deserve power. This ‘say and doing anything to win elections’ strategy is indicative of the ‘born to rule’ mentality that has caused the government to slip substantially in the polls. Ed Miliband is as unpopular as ever, but that doesn’t mean we can expect the public’s approval by being the lesser of the two evils.
So, when I say I understand the plight of those who choose to leave the party for UKIP, the home of disillusioned Thatcherites, I’m being honest. But, if, by defecting, your goal is to shift the party back to the individualist right (where it belongs), defecting is not the answer; it will actually make things worse.
The UK’s electoral system, First-Past-The-Post, creates a two party system. Here, just as in all other places where FPTP is used, the system reflects the left-right political divide of the electorate. You get major two parties: one for the left, and one for the right. Fringe parties are a just way for disaffected voters to feel like they are protesting against the dichotomy. They cannot, by virtue of the electoral system, have a meaningful impact on general election outcomes.
If you feel that your views are not adequately represented by the party leader, and the direction he has taken the party in, leaving the party is the very last thing you should do. Every right-wing defector shifts the party one step further to the left by making it easier for Cameron to get away with being a wet. The governing party will still be Labour or Conservative, but the Conservatives, as the right-wing option, will be slightly less right-wing. And by splitting the right-wing vote, you’re only going to improve the left’s electoral prospects.
A lot of the defectors say that the Conservative Party is no longer the party of Thatcher and that those who identify as Thatcherites are living a lie by continuing to vote Tory. This is hogwash. Ted Heath was much further to the left of the party than Cameron is. Had Maggie left to join a fringe party because of Heath, the 80s would have been a very different decade.
The Conservative Party is the country’s generic right-wing party. It is the gold standard of right-wing values. It won’t always reflect a specific brand of ring-wing values, but it will always be right-wing in one way or another. UKIP, on the other hand, cannot be certain of this. Nigel Farage is a libertarian and, under his leadership, the party will remain as such. But what happens when he steps down? Their central policy of withdrawing from the EU can be taken up by the left or the right. Paul Nuttall, UKIP’s deputy chairman, certainly expressed some worryingly statist economic views when he appeared on Question Time a few weeks ago.
My advice to any Conservatives thinking about defecting is to hold your ground. Cameron is not an individualist, a libertarian or a Thatcherite, but he is better than the alternative – Labour. By staying in the party and making our voices heard, we can limit the extent to which Cameron can get away with centre-groundism and we can vote on the next leader.
But I don’t want to be overly negative about Cameron and the current government. They are implementing a lot of important reforms which we can be proud of. Michael Gove’s free schools and education reforms are necessary to stem the tide of educational decline, Ian Duncan Smith’s welfare reforms are sensible and much needed, the NHS is being opened up to competition and we are slowly getting to grips with runaway government spending. This is a Conservative government, albeit an imperfect one.
We need to back the government where it is getting things right, and we need to kick and scream where it is strays from what we consider true Conservatism. Change from within is achievable; defecting is the loser’s way out.
